Trump's Republican may win over Biden's Democrats in these US Presidential Elections this time?

Geopolitical experts are predicting that Donald Trump's Republican party may win over Joe Biden's Democrats with a huge margin after analyzing the current scenarios of US voters. Black Voter will be the deciding factor for the republican this year comprising a total of 14 percent of the total voting population. Historically democrats were the always the choice for these voters due to the laws introduced in favor of them accounting from Roosevelt's era with laws like Civil Rights Act in 1964 removing the racial discrimination against the black peoples. This made a perspective of Republican as face of black people with appointing Barack Obama as first black president.

But in past few year the black vote share of Democrats have been reducing continuously with 77 percent in 2016 to 75 percent in 2020 and now the prediction are made for a drop to levels of 60 percent in 2024. On the other hand Republicans gaining from 6 percent in 2016 to 12 percent in 2020 and predicted to go 17 percent in 2024. This is majorly due to no actions toward the strengthening of rights of black people in past few year under the leadership of Joe Biden as a result the youth is seeing him as a weak candidate to work for their rights.

Secondly, the immigration policies by Trump were seen as far more strict and effective than the policies of Biden. Policies like Building the border wall on Mexico Border, Remain-in Mexico Policy preventing asylum for illegal migrants during the case hearing and Pandemic Title 42 Expulsions to prevent immigrates during pandemic were the policies made in Trump government. When Biden came in power scrapped all these policies resulting from immigrants figure shooting from average of 39k from 2013-2019 to 300k resulting in narrative among people of mismanagement of tax payers money on these immigrants in future.
After figuring out this narrative, Biden reintroduced the policies of  Border wall, Online asylum application process after updating remain in Mexico policy but it back fired as voters doubted a strong stand behind the decisions of the government.

Apart from these geopolitical issues are also a major point of concern for public as Biden was unable to handle the middle east crisis of the war ongoing as no side is listening to Biden. On other hand Trump had policy of no soldier on foreign soil was a success with Afghanistan peace treaty, North Korean talks and other discussion  whereas Biden government was unable to handle Ukraine war. These all factor may contribute in victory of Trump republican party with a huge margins in various states of US presidential elections.